Global Scenarios: Background Review for the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment

The long-range outlook for the world’s ecosystems depends on the course taken by global development in the coming decades. Current global trends and ecological dynamics are consistent with very different outcomes, defined by alternative assumptions about the technological, economic, demographic, geopolitical, and social aspects of development and the ways in which institutions, personal and public values, and natural systems may be expected to respond to historically novel stressors. Recent advances in scenario analysis have addressed the dual methodological challenge of exploring these uncertainties in an organized way and determining what would be needed to make the transition to sustainability. This paper reviews global scenario research, setting current efforts in a historical context. It focuses on seven recent studies that are comprehensive, regionally disaggregated, and narratively rich—and thus of greatest relevance to the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA). It summarizes their social visions and the level of quantitative detail used in these exercises. Taken together, this suite of global scenario studies provides a useful platform for the MA by offering insight into the complex factors that drive ecosystem change, estimating the magnitude of regional pressures on ecosystems, sounding the alert on critical uncertainties that could undermine sustainable development, and understanding the importance of institutions and values. But these studies are only a point of departure. The integration of changing ecosystem conditions into global development scenarios, as both effects and causes, is at the cutting edge of scenario analysis. The paper concludes by identifying directions for this research program and suggesting ways that the MA can contribute to this effort.     

Improved micro-method for the high-performance liquid chromatographic determination of caffeine and paraxanthine in biological fluids

A high-performance liquid chromatographic procedure is reported for reproducibly and sensitively quantitating caffeine and its N-demethylated metabolite paraxanthine in micro-samples. A 5-μm reversed-phase radial compression column and 214-nm fixed wavelength ultraviolet detector were used to attain a sensitivity sufficient to quantitate these compounds at concentratios as low as 80 ng/ml using only 25 μl of sample. The assay is applicable to microliter samples of whole blood, serum, plasma, saliva, amniotic, cerebro-spinal and gastric fluids such as might be obtained in studies involving small animals or neonates. The utility of the assay is illustrated with caffeine and paraxanthine levels measured in several maternal and fetal fluids following constant-rate intravenous infusion of caffeine into a rabbit throughout pregnancy.     

Enzymes of ammonia assimilation in legume nodules: A comparison between ureide- and amide-transporting plants

Levels of amide and ureide biogenic enzymes were compared in the plant cytosol fractions of root nodules from soybean ( Glycine max L. Merr., cv. Williams), pintobean ( Phaseolus vulgaris L. cv. Pinto) and Lupin ( Lupinus angustifolius L. cv. Frost). Enzymes of purine oxidation were found to be present in significant quantities only in ureide-transporting pintobean and soybean nodules. The levels of these enzymes were low in lupin, but this amide-exporter had significantly higher levels of asparagine synthetase. Enzymes of de novo purine biosynthesis and glycine biosynthesis were present at higher levels in pintobean and soybean, consistent with a role for de novo purine biosynthesis in ureide biogenesis. The low levels of these enzymes in lupin are consistent with a role in general purine and amino acid metabolism in these nodules, not directly related to the synthesis of transport compounds for fixed atmospheric nitrogen. Amino acid concentrations in soybean, pintobean and lupin nodules reflected the metabolic differences between amide and ureide plants. The comparative data presented are consistent with a pathway of ureide biogenesis using glutamine, glutamate and aspartate synthesized via reactions catalyzed by glutamine synthetase, glutamate synthase and aspartate aminotransferase in the de novo synthesis of purines followed by oxidation of these purines to produce the ureides allantoin and allantoic acid.     

A Rapid Method for Preparing High Quality Alizarin Stained Skeletons of Adult Mice

A simple three-day technique is described for preparing completely cleared and high quality alizarin stained total skeletons of adult mice. Unfixed specimens are partially macerated during staining. Older specimens are heated for 15 min in 1% KOH. A heated solution of benzyl and ethyl alcohol, glycerin, and water is used for final clearing and hardening. This procedure requires about 10 min work per specimen and greatly simplifies preparation of stained and cleared skeletons of adult mice. Another technique, giving slightly better preparations, but requiring 11-14 days, is also described.     

Links between global taxonomic diversity,ecological diversity and the expansion of vertebrates on land

Tetrapod biodiversity today is great; over the past 400 Myr since vertebrates moved onto land, global tetrapod diversity has risen exponentially, punctuated by losses during major extinctions. There are links between the total global diversity of tetrapods and the diversity of their ecological roles, yet no one fully understands the interplay of these two aspects of biodiversity and a numerical analysis of this relationship has not so far been undertaken. Here we show that the global taxonomic and ecological diversity of tetrapods are closely linked. Throughout geological time, patterns of global diversity of tetrapod families show 97 per cent correlation with ecological modes. Global taxonomic and ecological diversity of this group correlates closely with the dominant classes of tetrapods (amphibians in the Palaeozoic, reptiles in the Mesozoic, birds and mammals in the Cenozoic). These groups have driven ecological diversity by expansion and contraction of occupied ecospace, rather than by direct competition within existing ecospace and each group has used ecospace at a greater rate than their predecessors.     

Observation and quantitation of metal-binding sites in the sex steroid-binding protein of human and rabbit sera using the luminescent probe terbium

The first direct evidence for specific metal-binding sites in pure human and pure rabbit sex steroid-binding protein (SBP) is obtained using the luminescent lanthanide terbium. Terbium, a probe for calcium sites in proteins, provided protection of the SBP steroid-binding activity in diluted human serum samples equivalent to that provided by calcium. Pure SBP, first treated with ethylenediaminetetraacetate, was dialyzed against buffer containing TbCl₃. After gel filtration to remove nonspecifically bound terbium, the protein was denatured in urea. The amount of protein-bound terbium was determined by luminescence enhancement of the lanthanide using the chelator dipicolinate, yielding four metal-binding sites per mole of dimer protein from both species.